Cut the Ties and Jumped the Tracks

So I guess I live in Brooklyn now.

After months of going back and forth on the Great Borough Debate, weeks of intensive searching during the worst rental market in the last decade (people were literally lined up at open houses like in Soviet bread lines), and a week of frantic packing, we officially landed in new digs, a few blocks from the top of Prospect Park.

And though we’re still living inside a fort of moving boxes (while I’m not going to say Jess is a hoarder, I’m not going to say she’s not a hoarder), I’m absolutely thrilled thus far. We have way more space, endless new restaurants and bars to explore, and a feeling of moving forward that I think we desperately needed after spending so much of pandemic lockdown (and the time post) feeling ‘stuck’ in a bunch of senses of the word.

Relatedly, still cranking with A3, which continues to build slowly and steadily. At this point, I feel pretty excellent about what we’re able to do for clients (even if, obviously, there’s endless room for continued improvement). The bigger challenges are, instead, around how we explain it to people, and how we get them in the door to try it out in the first place.

And, actually, that feels kind of familiar. When I started CrossFit NYC way back in 2004, and honestly for most of the decade following, nobody had heard of CrossFit or functional fitness or anything like it. So there was, similarly, a bit of a learning curve in terms of how to get people to understand and appreciate and hop in on something new and different enough that it literally defied easy comparison to something they already knew about or did.

Which means I have a bunch of work ahead. Both on that front, and on unpacking our many, many, many boxes, and setting up our new apartment so it really feels like home. But I’m excited for both! And that, in and of itself, makes me feel like I’ve landed—both physically and metaphorically—in exactly the right place.

Borough-ing Deep

When I moved to NYC twenty-some years back, I landed in Manhattan, and I’ve been here (across a half-dozen apartments) ever since.

When I met Jess, however, she lived in Brooklyn. And though she soon thereafter moved in with me (due to a confluence of commute time reduction, increased square footage, and the addition of a Hudson River balcony view), she’s been at least partly rueing that borough swap ever since.

In my early NYC days—and even, though to a lesser degree, in my early days living with Jess—I could always dismiss Brooklyn as “Manhattan’s waiting room.” Sure, people started out there to capitalize on early-career-friendly rent prices, but the real center of gravity of the city was the island of Manhattan itself.

But, in the years since, that’s shifted. Now, for example, it’s the best new restaurants—not just the quirky hipster-coolest ones—that open in Brooklyn.

So, in the last few months, as we’ve been contemplating a move, we’ve been looking both here on the Upper West Side, and in several Prospect Park-adjacent stretches of Brooklyn. By now, the days of lower rents in those neighborhoods have long since passed. But, for the same (ridiculous) amount of money, you still do get at least a little more space.

And, honestly, sometimes it’s nice to start fresh, and to take on a new adventure. Which is why, in the past few weeks, I’ve started to think Brooklyn might actually—to the shock and dismay of my younger self—be my next stop.

Perhaps inevitably, that kicked off a counter from Jess. After lobbying for a Brooklyn move for the better part of a decade, things have suddenly inverted, and now she’s the one suggesting all of the great things about living on tree-lined streets wedged between Central and Riverside Parks.

Where this ends (and where we end up) is still totally unclear. But as we’re hoping to get out the door to new digs within the next month, it seems I’ll soon be finding out either way.

And, if nothing else, I’m glad all of the contenders still count as peak-Gotham NYC. The borough may be up in the air. But I’m as sure as ever that the Big Apple is where I’m supposed to be, and where I’ll be keeping at least one foot planted for the balance of my never dull life.

Unmasked

There’s an older woman who comes to the gym regularly—I think she’s about 70, and she’s in working out five mornings a week, like clockwork. Literally, like clockwork, in that she does the same exercises, at the same weights, on the same machines, in the same order, every single day. (From what I hear, she’s been doing so for about the past five years.)

Anyway, the first day the gym reopened in the fall, she was back to her morning loop, albeit heavily layered up with PPE. And even as the general understanding of COVID evolved (e.g., the low risk of fomite transmission), even as more and more people were vaccinated (I know she was back in February, and by now almost 100% of the members and staff are), she kept her precautions at full tilt. Beyond double-masking, she still wore latex gloves throughout her workout, still wiped down every piece of equipment she touched, before and after, with disinfectant wipes.

Then, last week, the CDC changed its indoor mask recommendations. This week, New York State policy followed suit. Today, the gym dropped its mask requirement. And all morning long, I was jarred by the sight of people squatting and jogging and generally walking around the floor with faces bared.

So when the regular lady showed up this morning (not surprisingly, in full protective regalia), I assumed there was inevitable conflict ahead. Another member, seeing her on the leg extension machine, went over to let her know that she was now allowed to work out without a mask if she wanted. And I literally cringed as he did, braving myself for her searing, ‘what an irresponsible abdication of safety precautions and collective responsibility’ response.

Instead, she just said, “oh, really?” And then, like it was the most natural thing in the world, peeled off the gloves, took off both masks, and headed over to the next machine in her daily circuit.

So, basically, that’s NYC in a nutshell at the moment. It’s nice to see all your faces again?

Last Hurrah

As of today, the COVID positivity rate in NYC is either 3.17% (according to the City, which calculates averages based on the day tests are performed) or 2.6% (according to the State, which calculates the average based on the day test results are reported). The former number is high enough – over the 3% threshold – to have warranted closing schools here about a week back. Whereas the second is just under the same 3% number that would push the city into Cuomo’s “orange zone” designation, leading to (among other things) gyms closing for a second time.

At this point, the short-term fluctuation of either average is tough to predict. A slew of people have lined up for COVID tests in the past few days, in preparation for holiday travel, and I’m unsure whether that will push rates way down (as more people at low risk have been getting tested) or slightly up (catching asymptomatic folks who otherwise wouldn’t have gone in for a test). Similarly, I’m not sure whether the rates will be higher or lower right around Thanksgiving (certainly fewer people will be getting tested, but perhaps skewing towards those already showing serious symptoms?), nor how long post-Thanksgiving it will take for travel and group-celebration transmission to reflect in the numbers. So, for at least the next two weeks or so, it’s all very much up in the air. But, barring a miracle, it certainly seems like crossing 3% is less a question of if and more of when. By mid-December at the latest, I’m virtually certain we’ll once again be back to gym-less life.

At which point, in-person A3 beta testing will be shutting down again, too. Fortunately, this time through, we at least sort of know what we’re doing, and can spin back up the at-home, virtual-only infrastructure we banged out over the spring and summer. Further, we also have a sense of how to reboot things – both logistically, and in terms of workouts least likely to wreck people as they return to weights for the first time in months – once gyms come back online a second time. So, mostly, we’ll be fine.

At some level, it’s even a bit of a relief. Without mandate from above, I’m forced to make hard trade-offs on my own. At what point does the danger to myself, my coaches, and our clients outweigh the fitness, business, and product-development gains? Whereas, if closing is Governor-decreed, I’m spared the choice. And, frankly, after these last couple of months of early mornings, multiple daily bike commutes, and fractured schedules, I’ll be happy for the relative ease of entire days working from the couch. This time, I even have unavoidable dog walks to make sure I don’t go full potato.

Or, at least, that’s the glass half-full (or, possibly, 10% full) story I’ve been telling myself. At this point, I put the over/under date for gym closings at about December 7th. Until then, I’ll be refreshing the statistics, trying to make the best of gym time that I can, and muddling ahead, one pandemic day at a time.

Excuses, Excuses

Through the first, long, home-bound stretch of the pandemic, I was actually relatively productive. Despite the weirdness of the world, I at least had a ton of time to get things done. And so, for the most part, I did.

Then, in early September, we got a puppy. Also in early September, gyms re-opened in NYC. And also also in early September, Jess started on a second Master’s degree at Columbia. At which point, my productivity kind of went to shit.

With the option to do so, I decided to reboot in-person beta-testing for A3. But because our gym is in Midtown, and I still don’t really trust subways, that meant I’d be biking back and forth – about 20 minutes each way, if I crank hard. Further, though I’d previously spent stretches of time between clients working in my office there, I wanted to minimize any unnecessary time in public spaces. So, if I had more than an hour between sessions, I decided I’d bike back home. Finally, though Jess is at home throughout the day at the moment – Columbia’s grad programs are temporarily all-virtual – she’s largely stuck in front of the computer, classing in Zoom. Which also means, at least during the day, I serve as dog-walker-in-chief.

On particularly rough days, I’m out the door at 6:00am, and going nonstop until 7:30pm, with three separate trips to and from Midtown, twice as many poop loops around the block with an impatient puppy, and whatever work I do manage squeezed into odd 15 and 30-minute pockets of free time. As a result, a bunch of stuff has gotten pushed to the back burner. And, apparently, that includes blogging.

Nonetheless, I’d love to again wedge in at least intermittent posting, and will be doing my best over the weeks ahead. Though, as my calendar looks increasingly packed, and as there’s a small dog staring at me meaningfully even as I type this right now, it seems that may be a challenge indeed.

Requiem Vegetabilis

Though we haven’t been baking sourdough or whipping coffee, Jess and I aren’t entirely immune to COVID food trends. We’ve made The Stew, The Cookies, and countless pizzas from scratch. Plus, about two months back, driven by Instagram posts featuring the idea, Jess talked me into regrowing scallions and celery from scraps.

Doing so is remarkably easy: you take the bottom inch or two of a scallion or celery plant, submerge it about halfway deep in water, and set it by your window. Et voila, the scallion will begin to grow inch after inch of new stalk, and the celery root will quickly bloom new leaves.

We started out with a rubber-banded bunch of five scallions in a narrow glass, and a celery root in a shallow glass bowl – Jess named them Scarlet and Cecilia, respectively. And, over the course of three or four weeks, they shot up fast enough that the change was obvious day by day. Although my (public, but still rather hippie) California elementary school had a farm on the campus that the students tended, it had been years since I’d grown vegetables, and I’d forgotten how thrilling it is to watch new floral life unfold.

About a month in, however, Scarlet and Cecilia stalled out. Planted in water, they could only draw on the nutrients they already embodied, after which they were stuck, short on the raw materials for further growth. So, we picked up a bag of soil – more expensive than Scarlet and Cecilia had been in the first place – and moved the ladies to two small vases, Cecilia in one, the sisters Scarlet (now spaced out by an inch or two each to give them room for their own roots) in the other.

And, immediately, both started growing again. Somewhere along the way, we also picked up a basil plant, which Jess named Basilio. And, between them all, we had an excellent little window garden going.

In the past week or so, however, we’d seen a couple of flies in our apartment – a rarity in a New York high-rise. And then, last night, Jess realized the source: fruit flies were hatching from the vegetables’ soil, a small swarm surrounding their bases. I briefly Googled for solutions – a layer of gravel atop the soil, traps nearby. But, in the end, we realized that there’s probably a reason most people don’t grow vegetables inside their apartments.

Still, having named the plants, and having watched them sprout, we couldn’t quite bear to just toss them down the floor’s trash compactor chute. We were like the proverbial farmer’s kids, unable to slaughter the pig they’d named and treated as a pet as it grew. So, instead, we transferred the plants to Solo cups, brought them downstairs, and left them on the edge of a planter in front of our building:

Vegetables on a street-side planter.

Up and down our street – even more so during the pandemic – people regularly leave out books and clothing and household decor they’re getting rid of, for passersby to grab if they’d like. And though, in the end, I realize Scarlet and Cecilia and Basilio are still likely to end up at the bottom of a trash bag, we at least told ourselves that maybe some intrepid neighbor – perhaps one of the many in townhouses with backyards along our block – would take the trio home to their own garden. Hope, like replanted vegetable scraps, springs eternal.

Breathe In, Breathe Out

I’ve been saying this for a while, as Jess and I have been seeing a lot of valved masks when we head outside, but there hasn’t been much coverage of the issue in the press. Therefore:

If your face mask has an exhaust valve (a little square on the front, or quarter-sized circle[s] on the side), it doesn’t filter particles when you exhaleeven if it’s an N95 mask.

While part of the reason to wear a face mask is to protect yourself from the SARS-CoV-2 virus, the bigger reason is to keep you from spreading it to other people.

Therefore, either stop wearing valved masks, tape over the valve(s), or wear another unvalved mask over the valved one (per the video below).

Otherwise, you’re not helping. In fact, as some research points to valves concentrating and further accelerating particles exhaled (or coughed or sneezed) through them, you may even be making things worse.

TLDR: VALVED MASK = NO GOOD. 

Hoofing It

Before today, the last time I headed out for a run was precisely seven weeks ago. Even then, it seemed a fairly risky proposition. But as things here in NYC devolved in the days and weeks after, I was even less willing to push my luck. Ever since, all of my workouts have been entirely indoors – indeed, entirely in our apartment.

Until, that is, today. As the number of new cases has continued to drop, and as we collectively begin to puzzle through what a safe and gradual reopening might look like, heading out for a jog – albeit a masked one, and still steering clear of the more crowded running paths in Central or Riverside Parks – had started to seem like it wasn’t completely nuts.

So, this afternoon, I went for a short jaunt. Though I clocked just two miles, at a glacial 10-minute mile pace, I was still pretty beat up by the end. Despite hard indoor workouts in the intervening two-ish months, it seems there’s no substitute for actually hitting the pavement.

And though it was strange indeed to run while wearing a mask, and I had to follow a convoluted path to steer far clear of other pedestrians without getting flattened by oncoming cars, I was still glad to have done it. Going forward, I’ll be heading out again, at least a handful of times a week. It may take me a while to inch towards any semblance of my former 5k pace. But it seems I won’t be back in a real gym for at least another month or so, even in the most optimistic case, and I might as well put the intervening time to good use.

Now What?

After a first month and change of blazing lockdown productivity, this past week I went a bit off the rails. I didn’t make any real progress on work, dropped the ball on most of my side-projects and habits, and generally just listlessly pissed away my days. Today, I regrouped, and am ready to get back to it full bore in the week ahead. But, at the same time, the huge amount of uncertainty continues to weigh on me.

Outside, the weather is amazingly beautiful, and New Yorkers seem to be heading in droves to the two parks (Central and Riverside) right by my apartment. Yet, at the same time, one of the restaurants across from my window just emptied out their tables and chairs yesterday, and papered over their windows this morning, apparently closing for good.

In theory, New York’s stay-at-home order expires at the end of next week. But Cuomo has already suggested he’s likely to extend that, at least in hard-hit part of the state like NYC. And, as I’ve written before, I’m not entirely sure how much the city is likely to bounce back even once those orders lift.

Recently, I’ve been puzzling through what COVID means for the specific logistics of gyms, in-person training, and therefore the ongoing Composite beta test. How, exactly, is a busy gym supposed to operate under the constraints of social distancing? Sure, you can rope off every other cardio machine, but how do you handle barbells and dumbbells and kettlebells and everything else? Mark out 10’x10′ individual zones with tape on the floor? If so, where do trainers go? And how do you deal with the vastly reduced total occupancy that entails? Pre-COVID, at peak times, attendance was probably two to threefold greater than social distanced layouts would allow. So even if you strictly enforce capacity limits by allowing members to sign up for slots, you’ll still wildly piss off the 50-65% of them who are paying for monthly memberships but being told they can’t actually use the gym. And all of that doesn’t begin to account for the likely far greater droplet ‘blast radius’ when people are huffing and puffing mid-workout; based on research I’ve seen, there’s good reason to believe six feet of separation may not be nearly enough.

During odd moments of the day, I’ve therefore been running napkin numbers in my head for what an extremely scaled back version of things might look like. What if my ‘gym’ was a small 500 sqft space, where I just trained one person at a time? Would people be more likely to return to something like that? And, even if so, how quickly could I get things set up and outfitted? In Midtown Manhattan, for example, it would be tough to run even a tiny boutique without showers and similar amenities.

So, lots to puzzle through. Though all of it still rather abstract. At this point, I have no idea what, exactly, comes next – the timing, the regulations, the attitudes of my fellow New Yorkers. I’ll be doing my best to keep pushing forward day by day, to lay groundwork as effectively as I can. But, in the end, I suspect I won’t have much choice but to wait for it all to actually play out.

Seventy Squared

At this point, it’s totally unclear when NYC will (or should) start to ease off on lockdown restrictions. For my own work, I’m keeping an eye out for any info on gym re-openings in particular, and on what new social distancing requirements in that setting might look like.

That said, I’m also acutely aware of how limited any reopening is likely to be in the near (or even middle) future. For example, given older, immunocompromised, and simply more cautious members, I expect only about 70% of a large gym’s members will return.

And, similarly, between continued social distancing practices, at least some days spent working from home, and general shifts to life rhythm, I suspect most of those who do return would still be coming back only about 70% as frequently as they did before.

Which leads to some simple math: 70% * 70% = 49%.  In other words, even if most people start coming back, mostly as much as they did before, actual training is likely to drop by half.  And, I would guess, restaurants and bars and stores and any other kind of commercial, bricks-and-mortar establishment will likely face the same thing.

So, while it would be great, when safe to do so, to reboot much of our in-person economy, I’m not particularly bullish about most businesses’ prospects. Coming back, but with a 50%+ haircut, will almost certainly bankrupt the vast majority of them, only slightly slower than if they never have the chance to reopen at all.